เหตุการณ์ใน-นอกโลก VS ภัยธรรมชาติ และupdate พายุสุริยะ

<table style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 204); " border="0" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" cols="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td rowspan="1" colspan="1" style="margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; font-family: Verdana, Geneva, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 10pt; text-align: right; " align="right">November 06, 2011
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Largest Earthquake 'Swarm'​

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In Over 200 Years - 'Oklahoma'
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by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes​

The largest series of quakes in over 200 years have hit the Oklahoma area. The last time this magnitude of tremblers was during the New Madrid mega-quakes of 1811-1812.
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Specific to the State of Oklahoma, the first earthquake known with its epicenter located within the State's borders, occurred in September 1918. A series of shocks at El Reno produced only minor effects; the strongest was intensity V on September 10. Objects were thrown from shelves. Other shocks occurred on the next day.

**Notice the scale of strength is measured by "Intensity" not "Magnitude" (see scale below)
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Magnitude vs Intensity Scale​

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<wbr> 1.0 - 3.0 I​

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<wbr> 3.0 - 3.9 II - III​

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<wbr> 4.0 - 4.9 IV - V​

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<wbr> 5.0 - 5.9 VI - VII​

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<wbr> 6.0 - 6.9 VII - IX​

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<wbr> 7.0 + VIII​

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USGS Oklahoma EQ List - http://on.doi.gov/t5cbzn

Oklahoma Geological Survey - http://1.usa.gov/aeWLIV
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It is yet known if the recent series of M-class flares(including one X-class) is related to this extremely rare, and perhaps prophetic, array of quakes some larger than 5.0 magnitude. Last Friday Nov. 4th, "two" high speed full halo CMEs (coronal mass ejection) were observed by both the LASCO C2 and STEREO spacecraft. One came from sunspot region 1339, the second came from region 1319 occurring on the farside of the Sun near rotation around the eastern limb. Solar flare article - Click Here
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On December 27, 1929, another tremor centered in the same area was felt in portions of central and western Oklahoma. Some plaster cracked and at least one chimney fell (intensity VI) at El Reno. In addition, clocks stopped, objects moved, and some reports indicated the walls and floors seemed to sway. In several cities, people rushed from their homes in alarm. The total felt area included about 20,000 square kilometers.

Equation:
Sunspots => Solar Flares (charged particles) => Magnetic Field Shift => Shifting Ocean and Jet Stream Currents => Extreme Weather and Human Disruption (mitch battros 1998).

FULL ARTICLE - http://bit.ly/tawYyl​

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สถานการณ์ภัยพิบัติระหว่างวันที่ 8-14 พย ช่วงนี้จะมีเป็นช่วงที่มีความสำคัญในหลายแง่มุมและควรติตตามสถานการณ์มากเป็นพิเศษ ซึ่งเหตุการณ์ที่จะเกิดขึ้นมีดังนี้


- ที่จุดดับ 1339 ซึ่งมีขนาดใหญ่โคจรมาเรียงกับโลก spaceweather.com/images2011/04nov11/Eric-Roel1_strip.jpg


- ปรากฏการณ์ดางเคราะห์เรียงตัวครั้งสำคัญ ซึ่งคาดว่าจะมีปฏิกริยาดวงอาทิตย์ขนาดใหญ่เกิดขึ้น


- พายุสุริยะขนาดใหญ่จากวันที่ 3 ที่กำลังเดินทางมาถึง (แม้พลังงานส่วนใหญ่จะออกไปทางไม่โดนโลกก็ตาม) http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/browse/2011/11/03/ahead_20111103_cor2_256.mpg


- FEMA ซ้อมระบบเตื่อนภัยระดับประเทศเป็นครั้งแรกในประวัติศาสตร์ในวันที่ 9 พฤศจิกายน FEMA: Nationwide EAS Test


- อุกกาบาต YU55 โคจรเข้าใกล้โลกมากที่สุด JPL Small-Body Database Browser



คาดว่าจะเป็นช่วงที่สังเกตุเหตุการณ์ภัยพิบัติมากกว่าปกติ ผู้ที่ติตตามสถานการณ์ภัยพิบัติสามารถเก็บสถิติการเปลี่ยนแปลงช่วงนี้เป็น กรณีศีกษา และเตรียมความพร้อมรับมือกับสถานการณ์เพื่อความไม่ประมาท ถ้าสมาชิกท่านใดจะลองคาดการณ์พี่นที่ๆจะเกิดเหตุมากเป็นพิเศษนั้นก็บอกต่อ กันได้ครับ


Posted by Administration on Sat, 2011-11-05 20:26

จับตาการเรียงตัวของดาวเคราะห์ช่วงวันที่ 23 ตุลาคม - 15 พฤศจิกายน คศ 2010 update 6 พฤศจิกายน 14:31 UTC | Truth4Thai.org

นาซ่าเริ่มไม่แน่ใจความเที่ยงตรงของวงโคจร YU55 เริ่มมีการเปลี่ยนโคดความเที่ยงตรงของวงโคจรดาวหาง YU55 ในเวปนาซ่า JPL
NASA Downgrades Condition Code of Asteroid YU55 – Unsure of Trajectory :


Posted by djmoder on Sun, 2011-11-06 08:18


สหรัฐซ้อมเตือนภัยสึนามิ 9-10 พฤศจิกายน Exercise Pacific Wave 11
http://itic.ioc-unesco.org/images/docs/pacwave11_flyer.pdf


Posted by djmoder on Sun, 2011-11-06 08:06

 

http://itic.ioc-unesco.org/images/docs/pacwave11_flyer.pdf

 

CHANCE OF FLARES: Big sunspot 1339 has quieted since a flurry of M-flares on Saturday, but the active region still poses a threat for strong eruptions. NOAA forecasters estimate a 70% chance of M-flares and a 10% chance of X-flares during the next 24 hours. Solar flare alerts: text, voice.

Daily Sun: 07 Nov 11<table style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: medium; " border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table><table style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); font-size: medium; " border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr><td></td></tr></tbody></table>Sunspot 1339 has a delta-class magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. Credit: SDO/HMI
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Solar Update / Sunspot 1339:
Solar activity was at moderate levels with numerous low level M-Class flares taking place around Sunspot 1339. The solar X-Rays have been fairly quiet during the later parts of Sunday afternoon and evening. That could change at any time however, as Sunspot 1339 has a Beta-Gamma Delta magnetic configuration and could produce further M-Class events.
Two new Sunspots rotated into view Saturday on the eastern limb and were assigned the numbers 1341 and 1342. A third sunspot rotated into view Sunday morning and was numbered 1343. All other regions have been fairly quiet with the exception of two low level C-Flares around 1338.
Big Sunspot 1339 and Friends (Sunday) - SDO

Comparing Sunspots:
Sunspot 1339 is indeed one of the largest Sunspot groups in years. Here is a size comparison of 1339 vs. a couple of the largest Sunspots from Cycle 23. Sunspot 9393 was responsible for the second largest Solar Flare in recorded history (X20) back in April 2001. Sunspot 486 is the record holder with an X28+ in November 2003. So far 1339 has managed only an X1.9 maximum flare. Does this big spot have any gas left in the tank? It is not so much about the size of a sunspot, but rather the magnetic structure. Smaller spots in the past have unleashed bigger flares. A good example of this is Sunspot 798 which produced an X17 back in September 2005.
Sunspot 1339 vs. 9393 and 486


http://www.solarham.com/

 

FINE SUNSPOT: The emergence of giant sunspot AR1339 has had an unexpected effect on Earth. Instead of a rash of geomagnetic storms, there has been a rash of fine photography. Kamila M of Puławy, Poland, framed the sunspot in black and white at sunset on Nov. 6th:​

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The color version is not bad either. "It was a fight with the light!" says Kamila.​

The sheer size of the sunspot (it is three times wider than Earth and almost ten times as long) makes it an easy target not only for backyard solar telescopes but also for off-the-shelf digital cameras. A bit of natural filtering provided by sunset clouds and haze is all a photographer needs to turn a gnarly-edged sunspot into art. Browse the links below for more examples. ​

 

November 07, 2011
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Dangerous Sunspots Earth Directed also Aircraft Now Banned from Canary Island​

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by Mitch Battros - Earth Changes ​

Seven (7) active sunspot regions are presently Earth directed as they rotate around the Sun's east-to-west corona. The most severe solar activity flare comes from sunspot regions 1338 and 1339. These sunspot groups maintain magnetic configuration to produce M-class flare and possible lower level X-class flares.​

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Due to the position of region 1339, currently located on the Sun's central meridian, all solar flare and CME (coronal mass ejection) activity could produce dangerous consequences to Earth from both a geomagnetic storm, and from high-speed solar winds.​

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NASA Captures New Images of Large Asteroid Passing Earth
11.07.11




This radar image of asteroid 2005 YU55 was obtained on Nov. 7, 2011, at 11:45 a.m. PST (2:45 p.m. EST/1945 UTC). Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech

› Full image and caption
› Related video
› Flyby information



This radar image of asteroid 2005 YU55 was obtained on Nov. 6, 2011, at 1:45 p.m. PST (4:45 p.m. EST/2145 UTC). Image credit: NASA/JPL-Caltech
› Full image and caption

PASADENA, Calif. -- NASA's Deep Space Network antenna in Goldstone, Calif. has captured new radar images of Asteroid 2005 YU55 passing close to Earth.


The asteroid safely will safely fly past our planet slightly closer than the moon's orbit on Nov. 8.

อุกาบาตนี้จะผ่านโลกเราไปอย่างปลอดภัย และจะเข้าใกล้วงโคจรของดวงจันทร์ในวันที่ 8 พย 11.


The last time a space rock this large came as close to Earth was in 1976, although astronomers did not know about the flyby at the time. The next known approach of an asteroid this size will be in 2028.



The image was taken on Nov. 7 at 11:45 a.m. PST (2:45 p.m. EST/1945 UTC), when the asteroid was approximately 860,000 miles (1.38 million kilometers) away from Earth.



Tracking of the aircraft carrier-sized asteroid began at Goldstone at 9:30 a.m. PDT on Nov. 4 with the 230-foot-wide (70-meter) antenna and lasted about two hours, with an additional four hours of tracking planned each day from Nov. 6 - 10.



Radar observations from the Arecibo Planetary Radar Facility in Puerto Rico will begin Nov. 8, the same day the asteroid will make its closest approach to Earth at 3:28 p.m. PST (6:28 p.m. EST/1128 UTC).



The trajectory of asteroid 2005 YU55 is well understood. At the point of closest approach, it will be no closer than 201,700 miles (324,600 kilometers) as measured from the center of Earth, or about 0.85 times the distance from the moon to Earth. The gravitational influence of the asteroid will have no detectable effect on Earth, including tides and tectonic plates. Although the asteroid is in an orbit that regularly brings it to the vicinity of Earth, Venus and Mars, the 2011 encounter with Earth is the closest it has come for at least the last 200 years.


NASA detects, tracks and characterizes asteroids and comets passing close to Earth using both ground- and space-based telescopes. The Near-Earth Object Observations Program at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., commonly called "Spaceguard," discovers these objects, characterizes some of them, and plots their orbits to determine if any could be potentially hazardous to our planet.



JPL manages the Near-Earth Object Program Office for NASA's Science Mission Directorate in Washington.
The new radar images are online at: NASA - Asteroid 2005 YU55 Approaches Close Earth Flyby .
More information about asteroids and near-Earth objects is at: Asteroid Watch - NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
More information about asteroid radar research is available online at: Asteroid Radar Research .
For more information about NASA's Deep Space Network, visit: Deep Space Network Home Page .


D.C. Agle 818-393-9011
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif.
agle@jpl.nasa.gov

Dwayne Brown 202-358-1726
NASA Headquarters, Washington
dwayne.c.brown@nasa.gov

2011-343

ที่มา

 

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sLXYJR7nz28]Are The JPL Models Wrong? - YouTube[/ame]

 

จุดนี้ก็มีนัยสำคัญ ที่จะเป็นอันตรายต่อประเทศไทย จับตาดูกัน

 

ไม่เห็นมีนะ เอามาจากไหนเอ่ย?

 

Daily Sun: 08 Nov 11 <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td></td> </tr> </tbody></table> Sunspot 1339 is directly facing Earth, posing a threat for geoeffective flares. Credit: SDO/HMI

 

November 9, 2011



Sunspots and active regions

The following regions with sunspots can be now observed on the Sun's surface
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</td> </tr> <tr> <th width="1%"> Group number </th> <th width="10%"> Sunspots Location on the Sun </th> <th width="11%"> The number of spots in the group </th> <th width="20%"> The classification by the Zurich's modified system </th> <th width="30%"> Area (millions of shares of the solar hemisphere) </th> <th width="9%"> Group length (in degrees) </th> <th width="16%"> Carrington Longitude (in degrees) </th> <th class="last" width="1%"> Group's magnet type </th> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1338 </td> <td> S14 W25 </td> <td class="center"> 15 </td> <td class="center"> Esi </td> <td class="center"> 0180 </td> <td class="center"> 13 </td> <td class="center"> 121 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1339 </td> <td> N19 W08 </td> <td class="center"> 40 </td> <td class="center"> Ekc </td> <td class="center"> 0940 </td> <td class="center"> 15 </td> <td class="center"> 104 </td> <td class="center"> Beta-Gamma </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1340 </td> <td> S08 E22 </td> <td class="center"> 01 </td> <td class="center"> Hsx </td> <td class="center"> 0080 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> 074 </td> <td class="center"> Alpha </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1341 </td> <td> N11 E41 </td> <td class="center"> 05 </td> <td class="center"> Dao </td> <td class="center"> 0110 </td> <td class="center"> 08 </td> <td class="center"> 055 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1342 </td> <td> N18 E34 </td> <td class="center"> 14 </td> <td class="center"> Eso </td> <td class="center"> 0130 </td> <td class="center"> 11 </td> <td class="center"> 061 </td> <td class="center"> Beta </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1343 </td> <td> N28 E49 </td> <td class="center"> 01 </td> <td class="center"> Hsx </td> <td class="center"> 0090 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> 047 </td> <td class="center"> Alpha </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td nowrap="nowrap"> № 1344 </td> <td> S22 W07 </td> <td class="center"> 02 </td> <td class="center"> Axx </td> <td class="center"> 0000 </td> <td class="center"> 01 </td> <td class="center"> 103 </td> <td class="center"> Alpha </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for November 09, 2011 00:31 UT
H-alpha plages without spots

The following H-alpha plages without spots can be currently observed on the Sun's surface <table class="table_1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr class="separator_1"> <td width="30%">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <th> Area number </th> <th> Coordinates </th> <th> Carrington Longitude (in degrees) </th> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td> № 1336 </td> <td> N11 W57 </td> <td> 153 </td> </tr> <tr class="separator_1"> <td>
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td> № 1337 </td> <td> N18 W42 </td> <td> 138 </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Coordinates and other characteristics of active regions are issued for November 09, 2011 00:31 UT

วันนี้ 9 พย 11 - จุดดับ 1339 มาตรงกับโลกพอดี แต่ยังดีหน่อยที่ว่ามันลดขนาดลงแล้ว แต่คงมีผลอะไรแหล่ะ ประเทศไทยก็อยู่ในจุดเสี่ยง

 

ยานอวกาศของรัสเซียที่จะมุ่งหน้าไปที่ดาวอังคารและดวงจันทร์ล้มเหลว


Russian craft fails to head toward Mars moon: Ifax



















MOSCOW | Tue Nov 8, 2011 10:20pm EST



(Reuters) - Russia's first interplanetary mission in more than two decades went awry on Wednesday when an unmanned spacecraft failed to take the proper course toward Mars after its launch, the Interfax news agency cited the head of Russian space agency Roskosmos as saying.


Roskosmos chief Vladimir Popovkin said an engine failed to fire on the Phobos-Grunt probe after it reached Earth's orbit, Interfax reported, leaving its mission to bring back a soil sample from the Mars moon Phobos in doubt.


In a forum on the mission's official website, Anton Ledkov of the Russian Space Research Institute said there was no telemetry from the craft, but Popovkin said space officials were in contract with it and had three days to set it on course before the batteries run out, Interfax reported.


"The engine did not fire, neither the first nor the second burn occurred. This means that the craft was unable to find its bearings by the stars," the agency quoted him as saying.
(Reporting by Alissa de Carbonnel; Writing by Steve Gutterman; Editing by Louise Ireland)


Russian craft fails to head for Mars moon | Reuters